Book Review: Poli-Sci in SEA

Erik Kuhonta, Dan Slater, Tuong Vu (editors), Southeast Asia in Political Science: Theory, Region, and Qualitative Analysis (2008)

Here’s a short review I wrote for Amazon.com on a new book called Southeast Asia in Political Science. It’s a useful corrective to the overly qualitative, country-specific nature of Southeast Asian Studies. In addition to my comments below, I also wish the book had included a chapter discussing the literature (or lack thereof) of law and courts in the region. Here it is:
This is a much needed corrective to the Southeast Asian Studies literature. As the authors argue, Southeast Asia has much to offer the political science discipline. The region’s natural diversity makes it a great laboratory for testing theories. However, Southeast Asia has been markedly absent in the political science debates over “big question” theories. Much of the Southeast Asia literature stands accused of focusing on individual countries in-depth, but not engaging the theoretical debates or utilization of cross-country comparative studies.

Southeast Asia in Political Science serves both as a defense of the field and a clarion call for a more active engagement between Southeast Asia and political science. The articles, written by some of the brightest young minds in the field, review the literature and highlight its contributions to political theory – as well as where it falls short. They generally take an unabashedly qualitative approach, but also stress the need for this approach to engage more explicitly in hypothesis elaboration or testing. 
I hope I don’t sound too immodest in saying this, but this book preaches exactly what I have said privately to colleagues for years, and I’m glad to see so many prominent Southeast Asianists recognizing the problems. As much as I love Southeast Asia, it has certainly been punching below its weight. If political science actually is to be a “science,” questions of methodology are going to keep coming up. 
The individual articles are all well-written and the authors know their fields. The one critique I have with the book comes rather from what it fails to address. As anybody who works with Southeast Asia knows, comparative studies are particularly difficult in this region. Unlike Latin America, Western Europe, and the Middle East, etc., there is no lingua franca or common history. It is a huge investment to learn enough even about one country, much less two or three. The same diversity that makes it an ideal laboratory for comparative research, as the authors allege, also makes it difficult to control variables. Moreover, data is often hard to come by and inaccessible. I would like to have seen more explicit discussion of these challenges and how to overcome them. For the young Southeast Asia scholars like myself, that might mean addressing whether it is worth investing in one, two, or any languages? How many countries can researchers can reasonably expertise in before spreading oneself too thin? In addition to the theoretical questions, these questions need to be addressed in order to situate Southeast Asia scholars more firmly within political science.

Comments Off on Book Review: Poli-Sci in SEA

Filed under political science, southeast asia

Jurisprudence Review: The case behind the chaos

De Castro v. Judicial and Bar Council, G.R. No. 191002 (S.C. Mar. 17, 2010), available at http://sc.judiciary.gov.ph/jurisprudence/2010/march2010/191002.htm.

Given the controversy in Manila over the “midnight appointment” of a new Chief Justice, I thought it’d be worthwhile to actually analyze the Supreme Court case involved. Too often, pundits and politicians talk about these cases without reading them. I certainly can understand the reluctance to read such cases – this one is quite long and has legalese. Nonetheless, I think it’s incumbent upon us to actually understand the Court’s reasoning before either supporting or attacking the decision. As such, I’ve read it and summarized a few key points below.


Basically, this entire controversy was caused by an inconvenient birthday. Chief Justice Reynato Puno will turn 70 on May 17, 2010. Under the Philippine constitution, any justice must retire upon reaching the age of 70, so Justice Puno will step down from the court and leave a vacancy. Const. (1987), Cap. VIII, § 11, (Phil.). However, another section of the constitution seems to prohibit the president from making any appointments two months before the next election and up to the end of her term in office. Const. (1987), Cap. VII, § 15, (Phil.). Since the next election will be held on May 10 – just a week before Justice Puno retires – the question arises of whether current President Arroyo could fill the vacancy on the Supreme Court. In De Castro v. Judicial and Bar Council, the Supreme Court 9-1 that Arroyo could appoint a new chief justice before stepping down.

Legal Standing

First, the Supreme Court had to decide whether the petitioners involved could even challenge the president’s right to appoint a new justice. I won’t get bogged down in the details here, but suffice it to say the Supreme Court found that they had legal standing (locus standii) to bring the lawsuit as citizens or taxpayers in the general interest. The justices interpreted standing broadly, saying that 

Indeed, the issues affect everyone (including the petitioners), regardless of one’s personal interest in life, because they concern that great doubt about the authority of the incumbent President to appoint not only the successor of the retiring incumbent Chief Justice,

Justiciability/Ripeness
Another legal hurdle the petitioners faced was whether the case was ripe for adjudication. The Judicial and Bar Council (JBC), a joint committee of government officials and private lawyers who recommend nominees for the Supreme Court, has not yet interviewed or proposed nominees. Theoretically, this might make it to early to decide whether the president could appoint a new justice because nothing has actually happened. However, the Supreme Court decided that the outcome of the case:

will not be an abstraction, or a merely hypothetical exercise. The resolution of the controversy will surely settle – with finality – the nagging questions that are preventing the JBC from moving on with the process that it already began

Substantive Merits
After addressing those technicalities, the Supreme Court addressed the substantive merits of the case. The main provision in question is Chapter VII, Section 15, which reads:

Two months immediately before the next presidential elections and up to the end of his term, a President or Acting President shall not make appointments, except temporary appointments to executive positions when continued vacancies therein will prejudice public service or endanger public safety. Const. (1987), Cap. VII, § 15, (Phil.).

On its face, this would ban the president from making any appointments between March 11 and June 30, 2010. However, the justices also pointed to an equally firm mandate in Chapter VIII, Section 4(1):

Any vacancy [on the Supreme Court] shall be filled within ninety days from the occurrence thereof. Const. (1987), Cap. VIII, § 4(1), (Phil.).

First, the justices applied a facial reading to the 1987 Constitution to see if it could resolve the question based strictly on the text. The § 15 prohibition is located under Chapter VII, which deals with the Executive branch of government, not the Judiciary (Chapter VIII). They noted that, “Had the framers intended to extend the prohibition… to the appointment of Members of the Supreme Court, they could have explicitly done so.” Moreover, the debate in the Constitutional Commission in 1986 shows that the 90-day period for appointing a new justice was a firm mandate on the president.

Next, the Court considered the context of both provisions. The § 15 prohibition is right next to two other sections in Chapter VII concerning appointments that clearly apply only to the Executive, not the Judiciary. The justices reasoned that, “The fact that Section 14 and Section 16 refer only to appointments within the Executive Department renders conclusive that Section 15 also applies only to the Executive Department.” It would have been out of place to lodge a constitutional provision on government-wide appointments in between two more limited provisions without making that distinction clearer.

The Supreme Court also considered the purpose of the § 15 prohibition and whether it makes sense to apply it to the Supreme Court.  The justices reasoned that the constitutional drafters had included this prohibition in order to prevent “midnight appointments” intended to 1) buy votes or 2) influence the outcome of the election. During previous presidencies, there had been “midnight appointments” of unqualified cronies that simply caused headaches for the next president. However, under the 1987 Constitution, the JBC screens and nominates all judicial candidates. The Supreme Court believes:

the intervention of the JBC eliminates the danger that appointments to the Judiciary can be made for the purpose of buying votes in a coming presidential election, or of satisfying partisan considerations… Indeed, the creation of the JBC was precisely intended to de-politicizethe Judiciary…

The Court also argued that, contrary to critics, were a new president to appoint the justice, that appointee might feel beholden to an incumbent president. This situation could potentially be more dangerous to judicial independence than an appointee indebted to a former president without the levers of power.
Finally, the Court addressed a counterargument, namely that there would still be around 45 days after the new president assumes office but before the 90-day deadline for appointing a new justice. Here, the justices noted that Puno’s retirement meant not only appointing a new chief justice, but also possibly a new associate justice. Chapter VIII, § 4(1) applies to every vacancy. This means that there is a real risk there would not be enough time for the new president to appoint a new justice. While in this case, with Justice Puno retiring on May 17, there might be enough time, it is certainly conceivable that a justice could retire near the beginning of the § 15 prohibition period. The prohibition period could last between 105-115 days, several days longer than the 90-day period to fill a court vacancy. Were a justice to retire 5 days after the beginning of the prohibition period, it would be legally impossible for the new president to fill the vacancy. The Supreme Court reasoned that the constitutional drafters would not have risked such a gap.
Overall, the justices make some interesting points in the opinion. Certainly nothing as outrageous as Arroyo’s opponents claim. I think the structural and contextual arguments about the constitution make good sense. One constitutional drafter, Christian Monsod, has already publicly proclaimed that the drafters did not intend to exclude the Judiciary from § 15. However, it’s always best to treat such latter-day proclamations of intent carefully. More puzzling to me is why Chief Justice Puno could not have retired earlier to avoid this controversy. I also don’t by the Court’s last argument about letting the new president appoint the justice. The chances of a Supreme Court justice retiring within the few days when § 15 and § 4(1) would overlap seem rather small. Had that been the only argument supporting their decision, I could understand the public outcry. But, it’s not.
A word about the vote count. Only one justice dissented from the opinion. Three others wrote separate or concurring opinions, but also joined the majority. The three most involved in the controversy, Chief Justice Puno himself and his two likely successors, Justices Carpio and Corona, abstained. This left 11 out of 15 justices supporting the Supreme Court’s conclusions (not counting Justice Corona, the man Arroyo will likely choose given the outcome of the case). This is not unanimous, but certainly isn’t a close split.

So what does this mean for the future of the Philippine Supreme Court and the 1987 Constitution? It’s difficult to tell, but it seems only to exclude the Judiciary from § 15. It doesn’t weaken the § 15 prohibition in any other way, so presumably it won’t leave a large loophole for other “midnight appointments.” Moreover, I don’t imagine many justices will retire during the § 15 time period simply to allow the president to make “midnight appointments” to the judiciary. Rather, the real implications are political. President Arroyo will likely have one more ally on the Supreme Court during her retirement (or possibly as a congresswoman from Pampanga).

Comments Off on Jurisprudence Review: The case behind the chaos

Filed under Philippines, Supreme Court

Philippine Power Putsch?

More rumor-mongering in the Philippines. Some of Arroyo’s critics, including Liberal Party senatorial candidate Franklin Drilon, allege that the Court’s ruling might be “part of President Arroyo’s grand plan to remain in power.”

The Philippine Star article also quotes Liberal Party senatorial candidate Brig. Gen. Danilo Lim saying:

Mrs. Arroyo is inviting a new military uprising… Lest we forget, the possibility of a military uprising becomes real when democratic institutions are weakened to the point where the check and balance mechanisms are severely skewered, and when civilian authorities blatantly contravene the rule of law and the Constitution… Can we blame the ordinary soldiers? When the judiciary is anything but luminous, when the legislature is the plaything of Malacañang and when our poll body is widely perceived as a cheating apparatus, can we fault the ordinary soldier if he decided to heed his conscience and rise up?

The article conveniently forgot to mention that General Lim is in prison now for an attempted putsch in the Manila Peninsula Hotel in 2007.

Comments Off on Philippine Power Putsch?

Filed under Philippines, Supreme Court

Mayhem in Manila, Part II

The Philippine presidential candidates are weighing in on the midnight appointment of a new Chief Justice. Here are some more quotes:

Benigno Noynoy Aquino III, Senator and presidential candidate:

If it can be proven the decision was not done based on sound legal principles, that might be a ground for impeaching an impeachable officer [referring to the new Chief Justice]… The legislature has the power of impeachment if they feel there are grounds to impeach an impeachable constitutional body. That is open to any president.

Gilbert Teodoro, presidential candidate widely seen as the Arroyo administration’s standard-bearer:

If I were in her position, I would not make the appointment given the controversy surrounding the issue. I think despite the ruling given, prudence is in the order of the day because we’re talking about the credibility of the institution which is the Supreme Court. I will not even bother to give advice but prudence is the necessary thing.

Joseph Estrada, former president, current candidate:

If it’s according to the Constitution, what can we do?… Before whom should I take my oath? Before the incumbent chief justice, of course.

Of course, in theory, Estrada has the most grievances against Arroyo, who after all ousted him from the presidency back in 2001. Perhaps Arroyo’s subsequent pardon of Estrada diffused his opposition.

Comments Off on Mayhem in Manila, Part II

Filed under Philippines

Mayhem in Manila

A few days ago, I mentioned President Arroyo’s plans to take out a “judicial insurance policy” by appointing a new Chief Justice in the twilight of her term of office. The Philippine Supreme Court has ruled that Arroyo can make the appointment after Chief Justice Reynato S. Puno retires on May 17 (just a week after the presidential elections), despite what seems like a fairly straightforward ban on midnight appointments under the 1987 Constitution (art. VII, § 15). There’s been a firestorm in the Philippines, with wild allegations from both sides. I’ve pulled out some of the highlights from various news articles, from pro-Arroyo to anti-Arroyo to the downright bizarre.

Ricardo Saludo, Secretary and Presidential Spokesman: 

We do have these elections and, therefore, in the event that the Supreme Court shall have to act as a Presidential Electoral Tribunal, it would be best for a sitting, confirmed, you know, actual, full-fledged Chief Justice to be in charge.

Gary Olivar, Deputy Presidential Spokesman :

It should be an eye-opener for us to see how the opposition, ranging from President Erap’s (Estrada’s) party to the Makati Business Club, has come together not only to denounce the SC ruling as unconstitutional – as if they are the better judge of the issue – but also to scare our people with fantastical talk about presidential holdover, election failure, and even, of all things, martial law.

Estelito Mendoza, a former Solicitor General:

We should no longer look at who appointed the current justices. President Arroyo has been the appointing authority for the past nine years. And we already saw how the Court in many times have ruled on cases unfavorable to the Palace.

Ralph Recto, former Chief Economist for President Arroyo:

The President is in the legacy mode. Simply bequeathing onto her successor the right to name the head of a co-equal branch is one classy act of saying goodbye.

Christian Monsod, former Commission on Elections Chairman, member of the 1986 Constitutional Commission that drafted the 1987 Constitution:

It’s amusing because the Supreme Court added an exemption when there is none. There was no ambiguity in the Constitution, the ambiguity is in the mind of the justices.

Simeon Marcelo, former Ombudsman:

It [the Supreme Court ruling] is shocking to the legal community because the wording of the Constitution here is very clear. There should be no appointments to the judiciary two months before the elections.

Delos Reyes, Ang Kapatiran Party candidate, member of Sagip Korte Suprema (Save the Supreme Court) Movement, a coalition formed in reaction to the decision:

Since there might be a midnight appointment, then there would be a ‘midnight justice’ of a seemingly midnight Supreme Court. Violating the Constitution, statutes, jurisprudence even basic delicadeza has become the standard. We need to reformat this government as viruses of padrino politics have shattered the nation’s central processing unit.

And finally, Delos Reyes again:

A miracle will happen, I just don’t know how and when but I foresee the Lord coming to our rescue.

Yes, it appears things have gotten that bad!

Comments Off on Mayhem in Manila

Filed under Arroyo, Philippines, Supreme Court